civilization security system in 3rd millennium (a report).
Dr. Vladimir Tretiakov (Republic of Belarus), IAIT Representative at
Ladies and Gentlemen of the UN leadership:
must recognize that at present existing system of collective security,
characterized by a systemic archetype "patching the holes" is
unsatisfactory for people and demanding a change on something better.
depends from you, governing by the largest organization of the world,
wont be starting the process, which has to be resulting via several
creation of many more reliable and stable system of the civilization
The possibility to create it on a qualitatively higher level exists.
no another organization in the world, which would be ore suitable than
for initiation such the process.
Re-comprehending the security problem.
"The safe life" inside "the dangerous civilization".
You may get surprised.
Which social forces might cope with that huge problem of civilization
for such the limited time?
Have the world intelligentsia realized the problem as proper affair?
Is our minds tuned to decide many dimension tasks of like type?
Other dangerous correlations.
Questions what might be set.
Where a lever should be put?
New dimensions of human rights?
Panoramic thinking is reached.
Not only an imperative.
What changes will be in a society of many PT-educated
Let us to estimate how much time will have taken the problems
To weaken the problems keenness.
Itd be so good.
The situation is "insufficient bad".
When the situation worsened.
An affair for the intelligentsia, but...
A hope however exists.
the security problem.
There is a cybernetic principle of external
addition, very optimistic: Any problem may be solved being
re-formulated on an
appropriate higher, meta-systemic level. Stanislaw Lem gave in "Summa
Technologies" an example of such successful reformulation. It is about
everlasting dream of people to fly as birds. The dream-problem had not
solved in during of many centuries; its reformulation (admitting the
apparatus heavier than air) got the solution only when new technologies
mastered. It is a right time now (earlier, it was impossible; later, it
too late) to reformulate in similar way the problem of civilization
that to have resolved it in some decades using new technologies -
intellectual and information ones.
safe life" inside "the dangerous civilization".
civilization had been created in several millennia; then problem of
was standing only for individuals, not for whole human race. But in XX
on the contrary, the civilizations survival got greater problem:
S. Lem, turned "into point under question sign", at that "the
sign" was increasing, even if because of so called overkill -
"possibility" disposed to completely exterminate life with tenth or
even hundredth quotas of warheads available. There is even a gloomy
"Optimists and pessimists distinguish themselves by the dates of a
doomsday only". It means - if we want to defend what had been created
thousands of years we should save it from both destruction and
self-extermination in during of some decades, because we have scarcely
time to undertake something, until global catastrophes (predicted!)
may get surprised.
Really, it appears to be logical to extrapolate
individual and both social and state experience of people to the level
whole human community. For a human being is naturally to build life
a state - to plan its economical development for years, even for
Significant, 60-80-year average duration of the human life, as well as
century duration of states existence give evidence concerning
such the planning, at least that it is desirable. However we may assert
the transition to the next level determined as the building-up of a
strategy, or "the planning for all humankind" how and where it should
develop, until now has been done. Humankind is living "as it is
social forces might cope with that huge problem of civilization
such the limited time?
Whole human civilization, with its culture and
techno sphere, had arisen in result of intellectual, creative
many generations of people, of those, who now are called as
intelligent people, and intelligentsia. It is why intelligent people
should admit that their historical mission in the perspective of some
generations is to elaborate a strategy of existence and development of
Humankind, the strategy what might minimize threats of civilizations
extermination and self-extermination and to be corrected then "in
of the life".
the world intelligentsia realized the problem as proper affair?
representatives, yes. There are global direction intellectual centers,
resource ones among them, there is the UN Security Council, as well
councils of similar directedness, where intelligent people are claimed;
there are not something akin to the World Intellectual Resource, even
attempts were not done to start organizing it. But the hardness of the
so extremely big, that only the united intellect of all intelligentsia
have got any chance to manage with decision of the problem.
our minds tuned to decide many dimension tasks of like type?
answer is negative. It may be shown in simple way. Look at your reflex
ion in a
mirror: you can see that all your main organs of feelings -- eyes,
not excluding tongue -- are finding as near as possible to your mind.
property being characteristic for all high animals as well gives
concerning the big pressure of the evolution selection amongst our
correlates with the necessity to minimize the time of their behavior
The last circumstance had pre-defined our thinking peculiarities:
logics (type of forbears one: "danger - no danger", "edible -
not edible", "own - alien"); thoughtlessness, or
"narrow-mindedness"; inclination to take decisions rather simple than
adequate; tendency "to serve" aggressive forms of behavior.
Narrow-mindedness, or field of consciousness, having been
advantage for individual survival, is getting more and more a shortage
because of it may be named as the shortage of panoramic thinking (SPT).
It is a
kind of specialization having been gained by people in pre-historic
Unfortunately, the manner of thinking did not change from times of the
centuries, otherwise we should be to prove that more clever people had
more possibilities for reproduction than more physical strong,
sexy individuals. It means we may be likened a specialized
the deep-water fishes, which, as it is known, cannot be lifted alive to
surface. We, with our-mindedness as a sort of specialization, we
lifted as well - to the top of the civilization, having our mind as
tuned on "programs of jungles".
Aggressiveness and operative
field of consciousness (NOFC) are correlatively bounded properties: one
conditioned by another. It is known, in while an act of aggression,
consciousness is getting yet more, even boundary. All
prepared murders happen just in such states; they are named ‘murders in
state of affect’. Because of that NOFC, i.e. SPT is treating factor
more, as more mighty is getting energetic and military means having
available. Moreover, there is a probability to take a fatal mistake of
global scale by people "provided with SPT", rising together with the
worlds complexity up grading impetuously.
what might be set.
Do not think you that many million armies of fans
going mad of their sportive and variety idols are evidence of what may
as "the not-claimed ness of the human minds"? Isn’t evidence of the
same that we usually hate to be in waiting of something or somebody?
May we say
that the not burdening thought accompaniment of events as well as idle
"reply by reply" are quite unusable for people? Do not you see in it
an association with the fact that only one-tenth part of head brain
cells is acting? May we are surprised then that we have the thinking,
gives, rise to numerous problems? Why one cannot think that just because
human communities again and again face such problems as corruption,
interpersonal, inter-ethnic, inter-confessional, inter-nation, and
other conflicts? May you are agree that there are dangerous errors of
thoughtlessness, which happen because of SPT, and there is dangerous
behavior - because of pathologic SPT, i.e. limitaryed field of
After all that, may you admit there is a systemic discordance: the
is out of correspondence with such huge complexity of the civilization
created by hundreds of human generations?
a lever should be put?
While looking for the weak link of a system the
question is decided where the lever of future systemic changes should
It is obviously the place of its putting is found in our imperfect
having been formed in the conditions of wild nature. Of course the
have a "form" of any educational techniques. To correct our minds is
of great significance: while thinking we make mistakes of
having "normal" SPT and while acting we may perform aggressive
conduct because of pathologiced field of consciousness.
dimension of human rights? The
panoramic thinking (PT), as a
manner of thinking "over" what is necessary for individual survival,
includes into itself all creative forms, i.e. non-standard, inventive,
systemic, of full spectrum, of break-through, etc. G.B.Shaw said:
"Descartes, maybe, extracted from the life more joy ness than Casanova
did". To take possession of more perfect tool of the thought, a new
right should arise, the right to be taught to think panoramically,
SPT and having given more joy ness from creative perception of the
thinking is reached.
The huge ability to study is maybe the main
quality of human beings, having singling them out of the animal world.
can see in action those who reveal the ability of PT. They are for
controllers of airport, music and theatrical performers, conductors of
orchestra, artists of circus, gymnasts, and extreme sportsmen. They
that teaching may be successful.
only an imperative.
By the way, "to widen the minds", i.e.
to take possession of PT, is not only an imperative challenge to the
conditioned by the new reality of the world overloaded with
such the conditions the education priority to get knowledge is getting
than the priority to be able to think panoramically, in particular to
to find and to use the necessary knowledge. It may not be considered as
that high intellectual emotions are not experienced by huge majority of
those are "shut" for them.
changes are waited in a society of many PT-educated people?
reduction of suicides; reduction of murders in the state of temporary
cessation or relaxation of interethnic, interconfessional and other
dissension; cessation of utilization of people for anti-humane goals
of their increased capacity to resist zombification); overcoming the
disconnection of different sciences owing to unifying ideas of great
(i.e. discoveries of civilization omissions).
improvement and pacification of interpersonal relations;
increase of the quantitative and qualitative level of legislative
rise of inventive and innovative activity effectiveness;
rise of GNP per capita (owing to growth of the human capital of
enterprises, companies etc.); improvement of leisure quality because of
more pleasure got by people owing to their more perfect thinking
supplied by PT.
us estimate how much time will have taken the problems solution. 5-10
proceeding public multi-media discussion on the education priorities
5 years - elaborating the education programs with the priority of
thinking development for all the levels of education. 10 years -
solvency of the programs, bettering them. 15-25 years - preparation of
panoramically thinking teachers and high-school lectures of 1st call.
years - ending the school and high-school reformation based on the
20-30 years - creation of the World IntelNet Resource of panoramically
experts, with the hard-were, soft-were, design, scientific, artistic,
ensuring needed, with the perfect regalements elaborated of discussions
negotiations; the leading into action the reliable, self-reproducing
Thus, transition to the new system of civilization security will likely
about 70-100 years.
weaken the problem keenness.
1914-18 - 1st world war, 1941-45 -2nd
world wars, 1986 - Chernobyl catastrophes, 2001 - World Trade Centers
destruction. Thus, periods "almost without catastrophes" were only
23, 41 and 15 years. So, one may doubt that humankind will get 70-100
reflection about is it worthy to refuse from thinking structure what
formed in pre-historic times. It is why to lessen general,
"inter-human" tenseness in the world. We may take into account that
at first in the human history possibility appears (more exactly, about
appear) owing Internet, to discuss "by all world" the age-old problem
of happiness, what was badly publicized by Utopians.
The UN claimed 2001 as Year of inter-civilizations dialogue. The
be proceed because that problem of happiness absorb all other problems
Humankind, i.e. military conflicts, terrorism, the growing poverty,
exhaustion, environment’s pollution, possible catastrophes; "the golden
billion" and other five ones, "not golden", should be mentioned
separately. It seems Internet to be about to place into itself the
all-planetary discussion on this eternal dream of people. To have such
global discussion club where you can tell about your failures and
get histories and counsels as similar obstacles were overcome by
others, and be
by those "others", and propose your ideas of better life, and have
theoretical disputes on social and philosophical subjects... Being in
people will more feel there belonging to humankind as single social
But in an organism kidneys and liver are not in an enmity, so
the humankind as a super-organism might be waited. It is important in
(for example, a huge mass of people, not only creative ones, will
moments of happiness feeling their usefulness) and because of "the
respite" for Humankind and therefore of more time for the main
be so good.
... If systemic discordance of the civilization were realized. Then the
of surviving calls, i.e. “Develop Panoramic Thinking!” "Create
Intellectual Resource!" and "Stay and Resolve the Problem of
Happiness for All and by All Together!” might be perceived as
imperatives and stay as guide to action. Such the trinity has any inner
of entailing one with others, and this should be taken into account to
the "buts" which each of imperatives has.
So, the call "To develop the panoramic thinking" will be inhibited by
both mental laziness being usual for people and inertness of the
system being a consequence of the general property mentioned. Moreover,
knowledge a mental shortage is not acceptable for many intellectuals
their superiority under others.
The imperative "To create planetary intellectual resource" may not be
supported in long time because the most creative part of intelligentsia
intend to unite as that to think together.
The imperative "To stay and develop the problem of happiness for all
by all together" has "contra-indications" because of the previous
unsuccessful attempts of individual speculative buildings of "happy"
situation is "insufficient bad".
It is so
because 3 calls above are not perceived as even simple imperatives of
However strange it is, the said has most to do with Third imperative,
to realize it as necessary executed one, people should have felt not
strong worsening of life quality, of its both comfort and safety, but
got radical displacement in social consciousness in direction of social
polarization smoothening, of national vital standards equalizing.
However, on the stage of "simple imperatives", when they are, as now,
on the periphery of the social consciousness, their traumatic influence
society is insignificant and it is possible to prepare introducing them
action with no fear to provoke panic and chaos. For example, the
based on the principle of developing the panoramic thinking (in
creative one) is justified by the fact that the civilization now is
rather information one then technical, so the priority "to teach the
knowledge" is out of date. To teach to think (good) is of many more
significance, without referring on an imperative.
the situation worsened.
After a series of catastrophes
predicted the media will appear to take ‘untwisting’ the imperatives of
surviving, competing against «who is more black and terrifying». We can
hope that situation will not crash down completely owing the imperative
happy all to remain alive all». Paradoxically, it may have got big
force, in spite of its almost obvious impracticable. After disquiet and
stresses the faith in verity of preferable things may be especially
Maybe then a sub-problem: how unify all intelligent forces will lose
keenness because of the strongest instinct of individual survival, and
institualization of intelligentsia will be carried out. However, it will
already lesser intellectual forces and worse conditions for
occupations. As for "to change the minds!” this task will seem to be
So, we may ascertain: catastrophes of global scale having happened will
the start of the new civilization security program on some human
affair for the intelligentsia, but...
All 3 components of the
civilization security problem are tasks for intelligentsia, as being
other social stratum erudite and preparated in sense of both
techniques. However among intelligentsia one is pride being closed to
power, other being far from it; not a few ones experience to themselves
feelings of deep self-respect and because of that stay low balls for
others initiatives. In general, certainly having in the view those
Alexander Pushkin said: «Foolishness of a condemnation is less
foolishness of a praise», and those, "the lesser noticeable ones",
are set usually in motion.
There is hard situation. Civilization security problem and
planning of humankind development might stay historical mission of
intelligent people, uniting all them general affair, but because of
arrogance, inter-discipline, inter-corporation and other disconnections
institualization of intelligentsia happen. Let you imagine: the whole
as a hostage of intelligentsia...
hope however exists. The
point is that the best representatives of
intelligentsia, those who are living with accordance with the
used to evaluate all after the largest moral counting. It is why having
realized the very hard problem of civilization existing just they may
responsibility for the civilizations security and its further
starting that high security plan. The United Nations I am quite sure
count on their support, even disinterested.
Let us propose any group of such intelligent people realizes their
into the problem and unites in the group for civilization security
might be their actions?
Understanding the necessity to heighten the quality of thinking in the
they come out with articles and interviews in media explaining ways of
education reforming. Some of them elaborate programs of different
learning, others publish articles with critical analysis of the
showing reveals of SPT in there by nobody unmarked, argue that
the thought should not be stupid and rusty if it pretends to be a tool
thinking. That and similar activities attract other thinking people,
and GCS is
replenishing. At any time the IntelNet, Internet intellectual part,
GCS as appropriate partners; take their research problems as own ones.
movement to World Intellectual Resource goes.
So united intelligent people can not leave unnoticed the problem of
seeing their use of participating in its analytical, scientific,
etc. accompaniment. For them forum on the problem would be huge
laboratory, where they might prove how their ideas of different
versions of future predicted were perceived.
First initiators activity would be many more successful if were
such authoritative organization as the U.N. By the way, in early 2002,
at Forum, what Club of Rome hold on its web site; the text entitled "An
Affair for the United Nations". It was just about the old-age problem
happiness discussed in the World Net. On the contrary, supporting GCS
U.N. have got an image of the foreseeing organization taking care of